Think it’s time to sacrifice lives to reopen the economy? You’re wrong about COVID-19’s fatality rate

There’s a growing push to reopen the economy quickly, often based on the argument that the economic damage caused by lockdowns is worse than the virus’s sub-1% fatality rate. This idea has been echoed by figures like investor Michael J. Burry, who famously predicted the 2008 housing crisis in *The Big Short*. His perspective highlights a dangerous mindset: some see the loss of elderly and vulnerable lives as a small cost for economic recovery, while others frame it as a broader altruistic concern, suggesting that economic downturns themselves lead to more deaths than the virus. But this line of reasoning is fundamentally flawed. It rests on a deeply mistaken understanding of the **case fatality rate (CFR)** of COVID-19. The claim that we can risk the lives of 0.2% of the population to save the economy ignores two critical realities: first, the CFR varies widely depending on the country's demographics and healthcare capacity; second, early predictions that the CFR would fall below 1% have not held up. In fact, the lowest confirmed CFR in well-tested populations like South Korea and Germany is around 1.9%, and even the Diamond Princess cruise ship—where nearly everyone was tested and received top-tier care—had a CFR of about 1.7%. These numbers don’t support the idea that the virus is harmless. In countries where healthcare systems are overwhelmed, such as Italy, Spain, and New York, the CFR has soared above 10%. What’s more, the real death toll isn’t just from direct COVID-19 infections. When hospitals are overwhelmed, people with heart attacks, strokes, or other emergencies go untreated. In Hubei, excess mortality was 15 times higher than official COVID-19 deaths. Similar spikes have been seen in Italy and New York. Even experts sometimes fail to grasp the true danger. A recent White House analysis estimated 2.2 million deaths under a “worst-case” scenario using a 1% CFR—a number that assumes perfect healthcare conditions, which won’t exist in an uncontrolled outbreak. Reopening too soon could lead to a surge in cases, overwhelming hospitals and causing widespread societal breakdown. Essential workers might stop showing up, food supply chains could collapse, and critical infrastructure could fail. On the flip side, staying closed too long also risks economic devastation and social unrest. So, the solution isn’t to open everything or stay locked down forever. We need a balanced approach—one that protects lives while gradually restoring economic stability. The challenge now is finding that balance, and doing so quickly.

Hair Care

Hair care, the literal meaning: to protect the hair. Hair is the most dirty part of the body. Hair care and cleaning are the most important! Hair, like skin, also has oily, neutral and dry types, depending on the amount of sebum film secreted. The number of shampooing should also depend on the individual, as long as it feels unclean, it should be washed. Having shiny and smooth hair is what every woman looks forward to, because soft and shiny hair will give people a bright and healthy feeling. Therefore, people pay more attention to the quality of hair, and hair care is more concerned with the development of fashion trends in the current society.

Hair care is not only related to age, environment, physical condition, occupation, but also should pay attention to the characteristics of the season. In summer, the human sweat glands and sebaceous glands secrete vigorously, and a large amount of sweat and sebum accumulate in the hair, creating good conditions for the growth of bacteria and fungi, so it is very important to keep the hair clean. Than to increase the number of hair washing, to wash once every 1-2 days is the most appropriate, after washing the hair can choose some hair raising agent, strengthen the care of the hair.

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